统计与管理

基于“五个现代化”维度匹配构建中国式现代化发展水平指标体系，使用熵值法测度2008—2023年我国中国式现代化发展水平，采用核密度估计、Dagum基尼系数与空间β收敛模型考察其分布动态、区域差异及收敛性。研究发现：全国与三大区域中国式现代化发展水平均稳步上升，全国与中、西部离散趋势减弱，全国与东、西部区域出现明显极化现象；中国式现代化发展水平总体差异呈“U型”趋势，区域间净差异为最主要差异来源；全国与三大区域均存在显著的绝对β收敛，控制变量的纳入强化了各区域的条件β收敛，城市规模、财政分权、信息化水平与基础设施建设的影响具有区域异质性。

An indicator system for assessing the level of the Chinese path to modernization was constructed based on the alignment of the "Five Modernizations" dimensions. The entropy method was employed to measure the development level of the Chinese path to modernization from 2008 to 2023. Kernel density estimation, the Dagum Gini coefficient, and a spatial β-convergence model were used to examine its distribution dynamics, regional disparities, and convergence. The findings indicate that the level of the Chinese path to modernization has steadily increased both nationally and across the three major regions. The dispersion trend has weakened at the national level as well as in the central and western regions; whereas distinct polarization phenomenon has emerged nationwide, along with in the eastern and western regions.The overall disparity of the development level of the Chinese path to modernization exhibits a "U-shaped" trend, with net interregional differences being the primary source of variation. Significant absolute β-convergence is observed nationally and across all three regions. The inclusion of control variables strengthens conditional β-convergence in each region, with urban scale, fiscal decentralization, the level of informatization, and infrastructure development demonstrating regionally heterogeneous effects.